Аннотация: A Schedule of the Libyan train. A foreign policy note.
A Schedule of the Libyan train. A foreign policy note.
Based on media reports, today, on 2 January 2020, the Turkish Parliament approved the deployment of Turkish troops to Libya.
What will happen in Libya and what will happen outside Libya?
What could be the schedule for the movement of the Libyan Express?
Events couldl develop as follows.
Turkish troops arrive in Libya.
Turkish troops are beginning to participate in the fighting.
Turkish troops win first private and then more general victories.
Could there be stops such as peace initiatives and negotiations in the timetable? Defeats? Turkey 's avoidance of participation in Libyan events? Let us not deny such opportunities, although the probability of such a stops is relatively low.
With the passage of the express through each station, the mutual positions of the "senior" partner and of the "junior" partner (in the peculiar relationship that has developed by mid-2019) will be changing.
How much the mutual positions of the partners will change? significantly?
What will this eventually lead to?
Perhaps in the Mediterranean, and, even, in a world politics, a new stage has begun - a slightly unexpected, albeit expected ...
January 2, 2020 22:12
Translation from Russian into English: January 3, 2020 08:41.
Владимир Владимирович Залесский 'Расписание Ливийского поезда. Внешнеполитическая заметка'.