Zalesski Vladimir Vladimirovich : другие произведения.

The Story about interest in the Bureya theme on February 25, 2019

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    The Story about interest in the Bureya theme on February 25, 2019

  The Story about interest in the Bureya theme on February 25, 2019
  
  
  
  
  1) Solution of "Bureya problem": forecasts and versions.
  
  
  
  
  'http://www.interfax-russia.ru/main.asp?id=1009090
  
  25.02.19 12:38
  
  The losses from natural cataclysms in Russia reaches 90 billion rubles a year
  
  February 25. Interfax-Russia.ru - the Russian economy loses up to 90 billion rubles annually because of floods, squally wind and other natural hazards, at the same time thanks to work of meteorologists the losses manages to be reduced by 40 billion, the head of Roshydromet Maxim Yakovenko said.
  
  "We estimate the profit from our activities - at least 40 billion a year. What does that mean? It owing to those forecasts which we gave, for both authorities, and federal, and regional. Authorities, having made some actions, reduced damage by 40 billion", - M. Yakovenko in the Pozdnyakov program on NTV told, the interview is posted on the official site of TV channel.
  
  "We can say that in principle, the damage in Russia - up to 80-90 billion a year at least," - the head of the Department said.
  
  At the same time he explained that damage assessment techniques still are required to be specified, improved.
  
  He mentioned the landslide (which got to media) on the Bureya River in the Far East as an example: the bed of the river as a result of a descent of rock masses was at the end of last year blocked therefore there was a threat of flooding of neighboring settlements and threat of stable work of the Bureya hydroelectric power station which, including, provides with energy the Vostochny spaceport.
  
  Problems could arise also at construction of Lower Bureya [Nizhne-Bureyskaya] hydroelectric power station [HPP] and design of Lower Nimansky [Nizhne-Nimanskaya] hydroelectric power station [HPP].
  
  It was succeeded to prevent the emergency owing to the calculations of hydrologists of Roshydromet and the works of specialists of the Ministry of Defence on clearing of the course [creation of the channel].
  
  "Emergency did not happen. But if it happened, then how to estimate the cost of three hydroelectric power stations, then disconnection of the Vostochny spaceport from the electric power, blackout in Khabarovsk Krai, the Amur region, - the damage would be already, probably, up to two hundred billion? Only from one phenomenon", - M. Yakovenko told." [http://www.interfax-russia.ru/main.asp?id=1009090]
  
  
  
  
  The comment.
  
  
  Probably, it will be quite natural if a citizens of Russia, in general the people, living on the Earth planet, who will become interested: What it for "calculations of hydrologists of Roshydromet" thanks to which "the damage was reduced", approximately equal "two hundred billion" rubles?
  
  (The figure in itself is, perhaps, approximate. The sum of potential damage could be incredibly high).
  
  Nobody challenges three obvious facts:
  
  1. There is a useful and necessary organization under the name "Roshydromet".
  
  2. This reputable and useful organization does a lot of necessary and useful works. Among results of activity of Roshydromet there are forecasts.
  
  3. Military personnel, specialists of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation reestablished in February, 2019 the hydraulic communication between two parts of the Bureya Reservoir: the "lower" part and the "upper" one. They created the channel (proran) through the "natural" ("spontaneous") dam.
  
  If we compare all these three facts, it is quite possible to say that certain forecasts, calculations, "some actions" performed by Roshydromet, "reduced the damage", approximately equal "two hundred billion" rubles.
  
  We began the comment with the statement about naturalness of interest of the most different people both to a situation in General, and to forecasts, calculations, "some actions" of Roshydromet, in particular.
  
  It is possible to be sure that in the presence of additional information on this subject all interested people will get acquainted with it.
  
  For our part, we will remind of the sequence of some circumstances.
  
  
  Step N 1.
  
  On February 21, 2019 (12:42) we dared to comment on the following words: "["Editorial office "Pacific Star"". February 21, 2019. Khabarovsk] For certain, our authorities also knew about it, but in [for] "broad masses" [wide public] they did not give out the news, - the scientist says".
  [https://toz.su/newspaper/ob_etom_seychas_govoryat/chrezvychaynyy_opolzen_s_tochki_zreniya_nauki_nichego_neobychnogo/?utm_source=yxnews&utm_medium=desktop]
  
  We gave the following message as the comment on these words (we will visit the website again, again we will copy, and we will quote the message anew):
  
  'https://tass.ru/proisshestviya/5949618
  
  25 DEC, 2018, 06:52 Are updated 25 Dec, 2018, 07:37
  
  The thermal anomaly was recorded around a soil descent on the river in Khabarovsk Krai
  ... the analysis also revealed significant changes in the Bureya River landscape
  
  KHABAROVSK, on December 25. / TASS/. Specialists of the Far East center of the Federal State Budgetary Institution Research Center of Space Hydrometeorology "Planeta" recorded thermal anomaly around a descent of the soil which blocked the bed of the river in Khabarovsk Krai. It is reported on Tuesday on the website of establishment.
  
  (...)
  
  "The additional analysis of ten-minute images of KA of "Himawari-8" (the meteorological satellite) allowed to reveal in this area the thermal anomaly which arose on December 12 at 09:50 local time (02:50 Moscow time)", - it is said in the statement.
  
  Processing and the analysis of materials of satellite ... were carried out in connection with the request by leadership of the Federal State Budgetary Institution Dalnevostochnoye [Far East] UGMS. Interest in the area is attracted by information on decrease in the inflow of water to the reservoir of the Bureya hydroelectric power station. The decrease in the inflow is noted the last several days.
  
  It is reported also that the analysis of data occurring at different times of the Sentinel-2A KA satellite for December 9 and 12 allowed to reveal significant landscape changes at the Bureya River... So, in the picture for December 12 there is no top of the hill. In comparison with the picture for December 9 is the change of an earth's mantle, in particular lack of vegetation, and on the frozen river a water is observed.
  
  "Data of space monitoring were quickly transferred to divisions [to the units] of Roshydromet, Emercom of Russia, administration of the Plenipotentiary Representative of the President of the Russian Federation in the Far Eastern Federal District, to the government of Khabarovsk Krai, RusHydro, the Amur water basin department", - it is said in the statement. As it was reported, the Bureya hydroelectric power station operates normally, threats of flooding of the settlement, according to the Ministry of Emergency Situations, while is not present.
  
  (...)
  
  Russia Khabarovsk Krai" [https://tass.ru/proisshestviya/5949618]
  
  
  Step N 2.
  
  On February 23, 2019 (17:44) we allowed ourselves to quote the following message, potentially interesting for a number of citizens:
  
  
  "http://www.amur.info/news/2019/02/22/150381
  
  22 February 2019, 19:16
  
  IN PUBLIC CULTURAL CENTER HOSTED A CONCERT IN HONOR OF DEFENDER OF THE FATHERLAND DAY
  
  In Blagoveshchensk began to celebrate the Day of defender of the Fatherland. In honor of February 23, a concert was held at the Social and cultural center. The head of the region Vasily Orlov congratulated the Amur defenders on the upcoming holiday. He noted that much attention has been paid to the Russian army in recent years.
  
  The Governor also thanked the participants of the unique operation in the Khabarovsk territory, where the military and rescuers cleared the riverbed of the Bureya.
  
  "The threat was not only to a number of settlements in the Khabarovsk territory, not only to railway infrastructure, but also to the entire energy sector of the Far East. We did not publish of this information..., because the first impression was shocking. It was unclear what to do with it. There are no roads, climatic conditions are terrible. And the President has set a task to a sapper divisions to liquidate this blockage. A unique operation was carried out in fact," said the Governor of the Amur region Vasily Orlov."[http://www.amur.info/news/2019/02/22/150381]
  
  Whether it is possible to consider as Step N 3 the above-named mention of "other actions" (forecasts, calculations)? ("Processing and the analysis of materials of the satellite shooting [the satellite took the photos] on the area of the Bureya hydroelectric power station ... were carried out in connection with the request by leadership of the Federal State Budgetary Institution Dalnevostochnoye [Far East] UGMS ["Far Eastern UGMS"]".).
  
  The assumptions can be made, probably ...
  
  
  
  
  2) New (/interesting/curious/) phrases (terms) on a subject.
  
  
  "the the landslide (which got to media) on the Bureya River in the Far East" [http://www.interfax-russia.ru/main.asp?id=1009090]
  
  
  
  February 25, 2019 23:33
  
  
  
  Translation from Russian into English: May 20, 2019 17:28.
  Владимир Владимирович Залесский 'Рассказ об интересе к Бурейской теме 25 февраля 2019 г.'.
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